Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.378591 0.432023 0.489134 0.554588 0.627390 0.705740 0.796299
2025-11-23 0.288094 0.360007 0.442779 0.544532 0.665649 0.804575 0.975317
2025-11-30 0.231511 0.315019 0.417950 0.552770 0.723163 0.929701 1.197134
2025-12-07 0.182744 0.270170 0.385263 0.545285 0.759030 1.031385 1.400801
2025-12-14 0.149057 0.238398 0.363482 0.547187 0.805091 1.148572 1.633717
2025-12-21 0.120274 0.207802 0.337888 0.539157 0.835187 1.245828 1.847575
2025-12-28 0.104724 0.193903 0.333638 0.559872 0.906168 1.403363 2.154702
2026-01-04 0.091534 0.181131 0.328754 0.578117 0.974129 1.560824 2.472355
2026-01-11 0.078094 0.165253 0.316233 0.582124 1.019725 1.687826 2.753551
2026-01-18 0.066520 0.150387 0.302936 0.582573 1.058651 1.806312 3.028550
2026-01-25 0.056560 0.136544 0.289172 0.580013 1.091450 1.916386 3.296328
2026-02-01 0.048482 0.124802 0.277343 0.578968 1.125806 2.030118 3.575433
2026-02-08 0.041558 0.114251 0.266523 0.578952 1.162720 2.151973 3.877828
2026-02-15 0.035074 0.103243 0.253083 0.572251 1.186898 2.254038 4.154171
2026-02-22 0.031068 0.097244 0.249064 0.583244 1.243903 2.415114 4.537280
2026-03-01 0.026348 0.088288 0.237217 0.576911 1.267623 2.519599 4.830354
2026-03-08 0.022952 0.082003 0.230322 0.579862 1.309002 2.657365 5.187533
2026-03-15 0.019433 0.074413 0.219095 0.572020 1.328139 2.755708 5.480539
2026-03-22 0.017942 0.072518 0.221388 0.594196 1.409192 2.972070 5.993353
2026-03-29 0.016464 0.070284 0.222469 0.613644 1.485949 3.184418 6.508776
2026-04-05 0.014516 0.065942 0.217360 0.618022 1.531301 3.339558 6.927066
2026-04-12 0.012679 0.061423 0.211004 0.618596 1.568343 3.480433 7.325256
2026-04-19 0.010982 0.056862 0.203726 0.615965 1.597959 3.608083 7.704223